- MicroStrategy's stock has surged 53% in the past month, significantly outperforming Bitcoin's gains since 2020.
- Analysts predict MicroStrategy's stock could rally another 64%, potentially reaching $290, while Bitcoin eyes a rise to $70,000.
- Hedge funds face $4.6 billion in short positions on MicroStrategy, creating pressure to cover as the stock rises above $180.
MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, is witnessing strong bullish activity on Wall Street. The company’s stock (MSTR) surged to $192.20 as of Tuesday’s closing.
Consequently, investors are now closely monitoring a potential breakout above the $200 mark, which could signal a new phase of momentum for both the stock and Bitcoin. Historically, the MSTR stock price has been an early indicator of what is to come for Bitcoin’s price.
Strong Performance of MSTR Stock Outpaces Bitcoin
Notably, over the past month, MicroStrategy’s stock has gained a remarkable 53%. This has consistently outperformed Bitcoin’s price gains, reaffirming its role as a proxy bet for Bitcoin enthusiasts.
More so, since adopting its Bitcoin strategy in August 2020, the company’s stock has soared 1,208%, while Bitcoin itself has gained 445% during the same period. This surge has placed MicroStrategy among the top-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the past four years, second only to one other company.
Additionally, Japan’s Metaplanet has followed a similar path by adopting the Bitcoin strategy and continuing to accumulate BTC. Analysts believe this move by international companies could further boost Bitcoin’s long-term value, fueled by a rising interest in corporate-level BTC acquisition.
Market Pressures and Potential Rally
Notably, according to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, MicroStrategy’s stock remains 44% overvalued compared to Bitcoin. Despite this, he predicts that the stock will continue to strengthen as it surpasses the $180 mark, now a key level of resistance.
Besides, hedge funds holding $4.6 billion in short positions may face pressure to cover their shorts if the price continues to rise. This, in turn, could drive the stock higher, with some estimates predicting a further 64% rally that could see it reach $290.
Furthermore, Thielen suggests that MicroStrategy might raise additional debt to acquire more Bitcoin. This, he notes, could create a feedback loop where the stock's performance positively impacts Bitcoin’s price. The combination of these factors suggests a significant upward trajectory for both MicroStrategy stock and Bitcoin in the near future.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $62, 158.21, with a market capitalization of $1.232 trillion. If Bitcoin’s price follows the historical trend of catching up with MicroStrategy’s stock gains, it could trigger a rally pushing Bitcoin to the $70,000 mark and beyond.
Moreover, Bernstein analysts have projected that MicroStrategy’s stock could rally by another 64%, which could play a key role in driving Bitcoin’s price higher.
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